9. Dez. got a cs:go case.. i still had some money in my steam wallet i think about 5$ er so idk from the 20 i♥♥♥♥♥♥in there and on my 6 or 7th case. nope thats the gamblers fallacy. the odds work out to ^x) where x is the number of cases you open. you can think of it as all the possibilities(1%) less the . 2. Sept. Just to note, there also didn't appear to be any significant changes in the rarity percentages when comparing the CS:GO Cases vs the eSports.
Sometimes a sportsbook that is just starting to offer CS: GO might take some time to get up to speed with setting the correct lines. In other cases a sportsbook might want to offer betting lines on Counter Strike: Global Offensive that are more attractive to players as a promotional tool, reasoning that offering better odds is worth the slight cost if it attracts new customers.
But even small differences can add up quickly, particularly if you plan on betting on a large amount of matches over time. At this stage, the smartest play is to identify online sports books where you feel comfortable playing and then shop around among those books for the best price on each match.
Spreading out your CS: In addition to betway , the following sites offer odds on CS: GO is still in closed beta and is not officially released in China yet?
This is as evil as Valve stated their skins don't have real world value and cannot be exchange in real currency but they let the 3rd party website do the job.
And let me remind you the most important clauses from the Chinese loot crate law, http: Online game corporation should also provide its game's loot crate inside content, performance, quantity, draw rates and forge up rates through its official website or onto the page where you unbox.
In other words, this strictly saying money whether real world money or virtual money cannot have direct connection with randomness, and items cannot be exclusively obtained from random drawing, it has to have direct purchase and the steam community market is what this is for.
But regarding the current case system, it is strictly illegal and against the law obviously, Valve basically has no other options but disable case system for PW clients and hope they could get away with it by allowing unboxing through international Valve servers.
That's what he's asking for. I'm not debating, all I'm saying is he's asking for the official ones that they're supposed to release today. Nice try mate but fuck you.
Look people who want to know the odds know the odds. Because I could afford it and it's fun. And I have gotten 3 knives. But I pretty early figured that it's just much wiser to buy the skins I like, because the fact that it's impossible to get a drop you actually like makes it so that the nice skins hold value anyway.
It's not like a casino where you are given money for winning. When you sell a knife, it is sold to another user and not valve. And it costs valve nothing to make these skins.
Valve pays the skin makers a fair share of the profits, if they only made in house skins they still would have to pay the artists their salary.
You are not getting the point.. Which they still have to pay their workers to model and texture and implement, im tired of this sentiment that valve is an entity that can press a button and magically create things to sell for high prices without spending a time.
Yeah but the value of the skins is determined by the market, not valve. Let's say the odds were better. Then the prices of hhe better skins would be accordingly lower.
Valve has literally no incentive to raise the odds though. Here Valve has a fantastic edge and people are still unboxing thousands of cases.
They could make it better, but will that many more people rush to unbox? This is their optimal profit zone. NT man, but even with those odds, in a perfect world, you would uncrate 5 coverts out of cases.
Plus there's already some covert items below the price of a key right now, so it's a bit rich to say the odds I propose would create a "problem", when items like the AUG Chameleon and the Galil Chatterbox are already below the price of a key.
I don't really know what you want to achieve because there is no way to design it to make it profitable as long as ppl can sell it for whatever they want.
And your examples are perfect for what I mean. Show me the direct calculations you have to get those kinds of figures, because right now it seems you're speculating or estimating.
Valve doesn't authorize people selling things for paypal. This is why you will receive no help if you're scammed through paypal.
You don't get items returned but the user can be trade banned. Shouldn't need to come to this, but somehow people don't understand the box telling you "this is a gift".
Valve never loses money on skins though. In fact, Valve actually makes more money when rare skins drop.
The difference is that Casinos don't charge you to walk in the door. I don't see how that takes away from my argument.
Its a completely optional part of the game. Casinos are free to go into. You don't pay a door fee to gamble.
They also give you free drinks to encourage you to gamble. Valve isn't handing out free booze either. Valve charging for the game and charging to open cases makes it a completely different business model than a casino.
Therefore they are incomparable. Ppl scam themselves being willing to sell that low. Market is broken cause of ppl who don't care about money and they go for expensive knives while selling everything else as fast as they can.
On the other hand you can buy nice skins "cheap" on the market if you are not a whale. Thank you for the math, but how do you add the StatTrak chances?
It would lower the all these percentages even more, right? It's around 1 in 17 So many confusing names, qualities, colors and coniditions.
GO are in no way intuitive. What is this shit, why is it categorized like this? Are u kidding me? I've only unboxed 1 covert Click here to recheck and delete this comment!
I used this relation to formulate the problem and I got the following, not sure if it's correct though. Guns with the same chance of dropping not always have the same price though, so not based only off that.
Why'd they make it so obvious that they don't want to easily give the percentage by wording it like this? That just makes them look bad.
Because then they would have to make lists of hundreds of different percentages normal case, cobble souvenir case, dust2 souvenir case, sticker capsule1, I've unboxed 60 knives, I can say for pretty much certain that the odds are the same for every knife.
Is the live feed of cases opened for all versions of the game or china? They didn't mention if it's all version or just China, but they just say reward list related to in-game opening.
Opening cases can be fun if you see it for what it is. Nothing wrong with that. But if you open to get things you like it should be obvious you are doing something stupid.
But the fact that it's so insanely hard to get a knife you actually want, I learned a long time ago to just buy the skins I like. The rarity is what makes them valuable.
And I use the profits to buy cryptocurrency, win win. Some people like to go out and hit the fucking pokie machines every night. GO purchased it when it was on sale, has played like 1.
It's still random, still outcome, still price depends on that. No, a blue is still a blue, no matter the condition.
Also it's probably random, meaning every condition has the same chance. Not like the tiers, where they are defined by valve. They should, in my experience trading and opening cases I've opened almost 25, the wear value float of the item is not linearly distributed, is definitely follows some kind of bell curve.
Oh so like souvenir crates are rarer to get coverts from because theres more layers, i. Pretty much what we had already gathered from all the case openings, I remember seeing almost the same percentages when someone tracked case opened in live streams.
This aligns nearly flawlessly with my spreadsheet - https: I noticed it was a ratio of almost exactly 1: I'll update my math in the expected outcomes to reflect the new announced chances.
No, just because you open doesnt guarantee a knife. For example saying that its a 1 in 2 chance for flippin tails for a coin.
That doesnt mean within two flips im guaranteed to flip two different results.